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Baseline comparison: $100,000 invested on Jan 02, 2008 @ the close. We will track a 100K portfolio for the following portfolios:
| Portfolio | Description |
| Passive ETFs | Buy and hold a mix of 10 equity and bond ETFs, consistent with the asset allocation rules of Modern Portfolio Theory |
| NLNTF2.0 | Actively managed No Load, No Transfer Fee (NLNTF) mutual funds based on the Strategy report and NLNTFstar report. A portfolio of ETFs that match the style of the recommended funds has been performing within 1/2% of this strategy week in and week out |
| ETF2.0 | Actively managed portfolio of ETFs from the World market Model: weekly adjustments to portfolio based on strict rules for risk management and position sizing |
| DIA,SPY QQQ | Buy and Hold strategy based on popular large cap indices |
| ETF O | Weekly update of one of our short term mechanical ETF systems that's in the market less than 20% of the time |
In order to compare apples to apples, we will start this year's portfolios with purchases at the close on Tuesday, Jan 02, 2008, using the NLNTF Report of Dec 31, 2007 to make our allocation decisions. Will start with equal purchases of the owned funds (even though this represents a crossleveling between funds).
|
System |
Passive ETF |
NLNTF 2.0 |
ETF 2.0 |
DOW (DIA) |
S&P 500 (SPY) |
NASDAQ (QQQQ) |
ETF O |
|
This Week |
-0.72% |
-0.27% |
-1.87% |
-0.16% |
-0.36% |
-1.33% |
0.00% |
|
2008 YTD% |
-7.54% |
-15.02 |
-2.31% |
-10.95% |
-10.54% |
-5.79% |
4.35% |
|
2008 $Value |
$92,457 |
$84,976 |
$97,694 |
$89,045 |
$89,457 |
$94,207 |
$104,350 |
|
2007 % |
4.29% |
13.37% |
12.81% |
7.18% |
4.19% |
19.84% |
6.78% |
|
2006 % |
14.26% |
11.99% |
N/A |
14.84% |
11.83% |
4.48% |
14.97% |
|
2005 % |
9.16% |
27.73% |
N/A |
-0.34% |
3.50% |
4.81% |
N/A |
|
2004 % |
N/A |
10.42% |
N/A |
2.50% |
7.73% |
7.82% |
N/A |
|
2003 % |
N/A |
22.71% |
N/A |
21.34% |
22.19% |
43.54% |
N/A |
|
2002 % |
N/A |
-8.62% |
N/A |
-16.89% |
-23.35% |
-38.41% |
N/A |
|
2001 % |
N/A |
9.88% |
N/A |
-5.62% |
-12.12% |
-31.13% |
N/A |
|
2000 % |
N/A |
26.60% |
N/A |
-6.03% |
-9.80% |
-36.10% |
N/A |
|
1999 % |
N/A |
98.10% |
N/A |
27.90% |
20.40% |
85.60% |
N/A |
Detailed Week-by-week analysis:
| Week | Date | Passive ETF (10) | NLNTF 2.0 | ETF 2.0 | DOW 30 (DIA) | S&P 500 (SPY) | NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) | ETFO |
| 0 | 01/02/2008 | $100,000 | $100,000 | $100,000 | $100,000 | $100,000 | $100,000 | $100,000 |
| 1 | 01/04/2008 | $97,222 | $98,955 | $99,100 | $98,117 | $97,502 | $96,013 | $100,000 |
| 2 | 01/11/2008 | $96,598 | $97,872 | $99,200 | $96,601 | $96,702 | $93,335 | $100,000 |
| 3 | 01/18/2008 | $92,783 | $92,011 | $98,200 | $92,299 | $91,120 | $89,962 | $100,000 |
| 4 | 01/25/2008 | $94,057 | $90,118 | $98,441 | $93,539 | $91,796 | $87,264 | $100,000 |
| 5 | 02/01/2008 | $97,998 | $91,882 | $98,606 | $97,550 | $96,309 | $90,438 | $100,000 |
| 6 | 02/08/2008 | $93,825 | $90,546 | $98,946 | $93,202 | $91,817 | $86,491 | $102,531 |
| 7 | 02/15/2008 | $94,956 | $91,205 | $98,974 | $94,412 | $93,245 | $86,927 | $102,531 |
| 8 | 02/22/2008 | $95,475 | $91,731 | $99,435 | $94,771 | $93,576 | $86,649 | $101,223 |
| 9 | 02/29/2008 | $95,054 | $93,742 | $99,602 | $94,167 | $92,334 | $85,201 | $101,223 |
| 10 | 03/07/2008 | $92,531 | $91,505 | $98,496 | $91,043 | $89,498 | $83,456 | $101,223 |
| 11 | 03/14/2008 | $92,730 | $90,872 | $98,971 | $91,878 | $89,429 | $83,813 | $101,223 |
| 12 | 03/21/2008 | $93,867 | $87,154 | $97,053 | $94,243 | $91,134 | $85,479 | $101,223 |
| 13 | 03/28/2008 | $94,491 | $88,801 | $97,058 | $93,570 | $90,740 | $86,273 | $102,334 |
| 14 | 04/04/2008 | $98,262 | $90,874 | $97,053 | $96,532 | $94,452 | $90,974 | $102,334 |
| 15 | 04/11/2008 | $96,182 | $91,088 | $95,054 | $94,419 | $92,031 | $87,840 | $103,145 |
| 16 | 04/18/2008 | $99,215 | $93,540 | $99,809 | $97,880 | $95,550 | $92,660 |